A Few Weird Tricks to Crash the Real-Estate Market

Ryan Tanaka
7 min readJun 24, 2021

(Video explanation version above.)

So I’ve been talking about this for a long time, but I’m interested in seeing the real-estate market, particularly in wealthy and urban neighborhoods, go through a massive “correction” in the near future. I’ve considered buying property before (made possible by my crypto investments) but I don’t really feel like putting in my life savings in something that I think is overpriced and inflated right now — I’m looking to “buy the dip” there, if you know what I mean.

The usual critique of this is that I’m reminded that the housing market *never* goes down, so waiting around for a crash is a fool’s game and will never happen. But I do think a crash is inevitable, for reasons I’ll explain below. The question is if you find yourself on the side of the correction, what can be done to accelerate its progress?

Supply and demand is a real thing, and housing is no exception to that, either. In many cities the demand for housing is high because of the good jobs there and its reputation as a nice place to live. The supply of housing itself, however, is artificially restricted for political reasons, not because of the market. Both things can change or be changed, if enough motivation is there.

With big inflation numbers being projected this year, housing prices are likely go up again — yes, even higher and faster than it is now. This will be particularly bad for renters, since they’ll be unable to capitalize on the “growth” of the inflated numbers. Expect to see more political instability in the future, unfortunately — and well, that whole COVID thing doesn’t help, either.

What (Will) Add Supply to the Real-Estate Market

Building more housing during a housing shortage you’d think would be a no-brainer if you’re interested in seeing homelessness rates drop, but that’s exactly what US cities aren’t doing right now.

Ryan Tanaka